Breaking news! The Nuggets are trying to snatch the Warriors' favorite target, Curry is upset, congratulations to Jokic for welcoming a good helper?

2025-07-06

According to the NBA China official website: Valanciunas intends to return to the European arena and seek a buyout with the Nuggets. Subsequent reports pointed out that the Nuggets are trying to persuade Valanciunas to stay, but the latter has already decided to leave.

In the 937 games of his NBA career so far, Valanciunas has scored 12,279 points, 8,723 rebounds and 868 blocks. Overall, the data is worthy of the expectations of the No. 5 position - he was selected by the Raptors with the fifth pick in the first round in 2011.

Valanciunas is likely to leave the league, and for the Nuggets, strengthening the backup center will be on the agenda.

Still from the NBA China official website: Due to the lack of a backup center, the Nuggets will join the battle for Horford.

In the 24-25 playoffs, Horford's true shooting rate was 58.6%, rebounding rate was 10.7%, and defensive real plus-minus value was 2.4. Obviously, as a 39-year-old veteran, he still has "oil". Of course, this is why the Warriors are eager to get it. My understanding:

On the one hand, the team lacks an inside player after Looney left. More importantly, Horford, who has shooting, connection and defense, is very suitable for the Warriors' passing and cutting.

However, due to the sudden joining of the Nuggets, I think the Warriors have little hope of getting Horford.

Reason one: contract. With Valanciunas' departure, the Nuggets can offer a full middle-class contract. On the other hand, the Warriors, let's not talk about how big the contract is. Since Kuminga's stay has not been completely decided, they dare not easily offer a contract. At most, it is a mini-middle-class contract. In and out, the contract offered by the Nuggets is nearly twice as much as that of the Warriors.

Reason two: the probability of winning the championship. The Nuggets' winning rates in the past three seasons were 64.6%, 69.5% and 61.0% respectively, which is a stable existence in any season. More importantly, there is also Jokic, the No. 1 player in the NBA today.

Reason three: opportunity. Logically speaking, Horford can start as the Warriors lack a center after Looney leaves, and the Nuggets cannot start the fifth position because of Jokic. But the problem is that Horford has shooting ability - his career mid-range shooting rate is 44.2% and his three-point shooting rate is 37.7%. In short, Jokic and Horford can play the twin towers like Evan Mobley and Jaate Allen.

Reason 4: Exposure. To be honest, even with Jokic, the Nuggets' exposure is far less than that of the Warriors. It should be pointed out that Horford is already 39 years old. A bold guess: quietly finish the last season and then retire.

Based on the above four points, we can understand that compared with the Warriors, the Nuggets have the ability to open big contracts, a high probability of winning the championship, guaranteed opportunities and not too much interference from the outside world. Combination: "More money, less trouble, and more championships".

If you were Horford, would you choose the Warriors or the Nuggets?

I think most people would choose the latter.

Curry will be uncomfortable with this. To put it bluntly, Horford should be the most important reinforcement for the team this summer under the limited operation of the Warriors, but now it is basically difficult to get him because of the Nuggets' killing. As a result, the Warriors' combat effectiveness in the new season has even declined instead of rising. Of course, for Jokic, it will also usher in a good helper for the championship - the game is easier, and even some games can be more "slow".

Finally, even if Horford is used before the full middle class, it will not be a loss for the Nuggets. After all, as mentioned above, the 39-year-old veteran still has "oil".

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